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RBI guv Das cautions banks against any build-up of asset-liability mismatches

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MUMBAI: Reserve Bank governor Shaktikanta Das on Friday cautioned banks against any build-up of asset-liability mismatches, saying both are detrimental to financial stability and hinted that the ongoing crisis in the US banking system seems to have emanated from such mismatches.
Delivering the annual KP Hormis (Federal Bank founder) commemorative lecture in Kochi this evening, the governor was quick to acknowledge and assure that the domestic financial sector is stable and the worst of inflation is behind us.
Amid the continuing volatility in exchange rates, especially due to the excessive appreciation of the US dollar, and its impact on the external debt servicing ability of nations, Das said, “We have nothing to fear as our external debt is manageable and thus appreciation of the greenback does not pose any problem to us”.
The governor focused most of the speech on India’s G20 presidency and in this context, he called for more coordinated attempts by the group of the world’s 20 largest economies to help those countries with high external debt risks due to the US dollar rise.
He also said the grouping must provide climate change financing to most affected countries on a war footing.
On the US baking crisis where two mid-sized banks (Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank) with over USD 200 billion in balance sheets each went belly up last week, he said the ongoing crisis drives home the importance of robust regulations that focus on sustainable growth and not excessive build-up either on the asset side or liability side.
Das, without naming the US bank, said that on the face of it, one of them had unmanageable deposits in excess of their assets side business.
Das, who has been an open critic of private digital currencies, said the ongoing US banking crisis also clearly shows the risks of private cryptocurrencies to the financial system.

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New tax regime, other rules to kick in from Apr 1: What taxpayers need to know

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As is the case with each financial year (FY), the upcoming FY (2023-24) will also begin on April 1. The announcements made by finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman in the annual Feb 1 budget, too, will come into effect as part of the new financial year. In Budget 2023, one of her announcements pertained to the old and new income tax regimes.

Representational Image
Representational Image

Also Read: Everything To Know About the New Income Tax Regime 2023

What did Sitharaman announce?

The minister announced changes to tax slabs under the new regime, adding, however, that taxpayers will still be able to select the regime under which they want to file their returns. In case no choice was made, the new tax regime will be default, she said.

Also Read: Confused about old and new income tax regime? Here’s a dedicated calculator

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What to know about the new tax rules?

Speaking to HT’s sister publication Mint, Abhishek Soni, co-founder and CEO, Tax2Win, explained what citizens must know about the new tax rules. “As we usher in the new financial year, and bid farewell to FY 2022-23, we can expect some significant changes coming into effect from April 1, 2023. These changes will involve the introduction of new rules or reforms to existing ones, as announced by the finance minister, in the Budget 2023,” said Soni.

Here are a few things one must know about the new rules, as per Abhishek Soni:

(1.) The increase of basic exemption limit (from 2.5 lakh to 3 lakh) is to make the new regime more ‘attractive.’ The highest rate of 30% will be levied on annual salary of more than 15 lakh.

(2.) The surcharge rate has been reduced from 37% to 25% for those earning more than 5 crore annually. Under the new regime, however, this 25% rate is for individuals with yearly income exceeding 2 crore.

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(3.) Individuals and Hindu Undivided Families (HUFs) can choose between the regimes in every FY (if there is no business income). For those with business income, on the other hand, there will be only one chance to return to the old regime, if they opted for the new one.

(4.) Section 87A rebate is available under both. Also, for those confused which one to opt for, the Income Tax Department has launched a ‘calculator.’

(5.) Under a proposal to introduce a standard deduction in the new regime (no changes made for the old one), people will benefit from a standard deduction of 50,000.


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India’s shrinking current account gap provides a reprieve for rupee

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MUMBAI: Economists are lowering their forecasts for India’s current-account shortfall, thanks to favorable trade trends that are proving to be a blessing for the rupee — currently among the worst performers in emerging Asia.
Barclays Plc expects the gap in current account — the broadest measure of trade in goods and services — to be 1.9% of gross domestic product in the year starting April 1, down from a 2.3% deficit it had estimated earlier. Citigroup Inc slashed its forecast even further to 1.4% of GDP from 2.2% previously, reflecting a steady drop in goods imports and strength in services exports.
The lower prints will provide a tailwind to the rupee, which is vulnerable to a selloff, given the twin deficits in the nation’s budget and current account make it more reliant on foreign inflows. A narrowing shortfall will also take the pressure off the central bank to sell foreign exchange from its reserves to stabilize the currency and check imported inflation.
“We are encouraged by the fact that the narrowing of the trade deficit has sustained and services exports remain strong,” said Ashish Agrawal, head of foreign-exchange and emerging-market macro strategy research at Barclays in Singapore. “The lower current account deficit reduces dependence on financing flows and RBI’s dollar sales at the margin.”
Lower trade gap is leading to hopes of better rupee fortunes | Goods trade deficit has declined to lowest in thirteen months
That’s an added positive for the rupee, which along with Asian peers gained against the dollar after a dovish interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Services surprise
What seems to have caught economists by surprise is the strong services exports print.
Services trade surplus was strong at $14.6 billion in February, building on January’s revised surplus of $13.8 billion. Services exports nearly touched $30 billion in both January and February, an increase of about 40% on-year.
HSBC Holdings Plc attributes a part of this rise to Global Capability Centres set up by large multinational corporations. India is home to about 40% of global GCCs, and this ratio is only expanding as they rise in scope, an HSBC report said.
“Services trade surplus is truly a hero in India’s foreign trade story right now,” said Dhiraj Nim, an economist and forex strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group, who is confident the trend will continue.
Barclays expects the improving external sector fundamentals and relatively cheap valuations to help the rupee rally later as the dollar weakens. But most remain cautious amid global volatility and the Reserve Bank of India’s aim to build back reserves at every opportunity.
From the current account perspective, this augurs well for the rupee, said Madhavi Arora, lead economist at Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. That said, the global situation is extremely fluid and could adversely impact global risk appetite for risk EM assets, including the rupee — emerging Asia’s worst performing currency last year and among the bottom this year.
“Thus the capital account side also needs a watch,” she said.

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Key meet today to decide 2022-2023 EPF rate

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NEW DELHI: The crucial twoday meeting of the EPFO’s Central Board of Trustees, which is to declare the EPF rate of interest on the retirement corpus for 2022-23, will begin in the national capital on Monday.
In March 2022, the government had declared 8. 1% EPF rate for 2021-22, the lowest level since 1977-78. It is expected that the interest levels will be maintained at par.
The declara tion of interest comes at a time when government had said interest applicable for 2021-22 is still being credited and was a bout 98% complete till March 6. The delay in EPF interest cred its was attributed to a software upgrade necessitated by the introduction of TDS on annual EPF contributions of over Rs 2. 5 lakh.
Apart from the declaration of interest rates, the meeting assumes significance since the pension fund manager will present a status note on the Supreme Court’s November 4, 2022 judgment regarding pension on higher wages, an issue that has led to considerable angst among exsisting and prospective pensioners as a result of procedural complexities in the application process.
In its meeting of the Pension Impleme ntation and EDLI Committee (PIEC) on March 15, EPFO had decided to issue a set of FAQs to “demystify” the apex court judgment and its implications on pensioners. However, des pite the extension of last date of application to May 3, the EPFO has still not issued the detailed explainer, nor clarified the method of deposit or computation of pension. Other agenda items include, among other things, a presentation of the retirement fund manager’s revised budget estimates for 2022-23 and budget estimates for 2023-24 for EPFO and the schemes fu nded by it. This comes in the backdrop of PIEC’s expression of concern in the March 15meeting over the labour ministry’s submission to a parliamentary panel that its budget estimates for 2023-24 were prepared without factoring in the implications of the apex court’s judgment, also as this may impact the EPFO rate of interest for 2022-23.
A report of the standing committee on labour tabled in Parliament this month said the ministry told the House panel that the implications of the judgment had not been factored in to the BE 2023-24 allocation.
In a subsequent Action Ta ken Report by the labour ministry, it has said the fund manager has seen a “significant drop” in EPFO’s acturial deficit as a result of the improvement of the quality of data with respect to the members of EPS-95.

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